AUGRISOpen research

2025 Week 16 · Final

New York Jets at New Orleans Saints, final 6–29

NYJNYJNew York Jets6NONONew Orleans Saints29

Pregame first read

NO pass defense has the stronger league profile.

NYJ passing attack #27/32 · NO pass defense #6/32 · 171 offense / 133 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
NO -1
Model total
41.5
80% range (NO margin)
-12.8 to +20.7

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • NO passing attack#21/32NYJ pass defense#32/32
  • NO run game#23/32NYJ run defense#23/32
  • NYJ passing attack#27/32NO pass defense#6/32
  • NYJ run game#25/32NO run defense#7/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2025 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

NYJNew York Jets

NONew Orleans Saints