AUGRISOpen research

2025 Week 16 · Final

Philadelphia Eagles at Washington Commanders, final 29–18

PHIPHIPhiladelphia Eagles29WASWASWashington Commanders18

Pregame first read

PHI pass defense has the stronger league profile.

WAS passing attack #17/32 · PHI pass defense #2/32 · 156 offense / 175 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
PHI -10.5
Model total
43
80% range (WAS margin)
-24.3 to +9.3

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • WAS passing attack#17/32PHI pass defense#2/32
  • WAS run game#16/32PHI run defense#11/32
  • PHI passing attack#18/32WAS pass defense#31/32
  • PHI run game#26/32WAS run defense#30/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2025 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

PHIPhiladelphia Eagles

WASWashington Commanders