2025 Week 17 · Final
Arizona Cardinals at Cincinnati Bengals, final 14–37
Pregame first read
CIN passing attack has the stronger league profile.
CIN passing attack #17/32 · ARI pass defense #26/32 · 200 offense / 159 defense EPA plays.
Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.
- Model spread
- CIN -4.5
- Model total
- 56
- 80% range (CIN margin)
- -9.9 to +24.2
League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.
Recorded leaders
- PassingJoe BurrowCIN305 pass yds
- RushingChase BrownCIN101 rush yds
- ReceivingMichael WilsonARI89 rec yds
Unit matchups
Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.
- CIN passing attack#17/32ARI pass defense#26/32
- CIN run game#24/32ARI run defense#23/32
- ARI passing attack#23/32CIN pass defense#17/32
- ARI run game#22/32CIN run defense#14/32
Players to watch
Per-game averages from 2025 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.
ARIArizona Cardinals
- Jacoby BrissettQB · 12 games243pass yds/g
- Trey BensonRB · 4 games40rush yds/g
- Trey McBrideTE · 15 games73.2rec yds/g
- Marvin Harrison Jr.WR · 11 games55.3rec yds/g
CINCincinnati Bengals
- Joe FlaccoQB · 7 games234pass yds/g
- Chase BrownRB · 15 games56.4rush yds/g
- Ja'Marr ChaseWR · 14 games89.7rec yds/g
- Tee HigginsWR · 13 games55.4rec yds/g