2025 Week 17 · Final
Baltimore Ravens at Green Bay Packers, final 41–24
Pregame first read
GB passing attack has the stronger league profile.
GB passing attack #3/32 · BAL pass defense #22/32 · 148 offense / 203 defense EPA plays.
Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.
- Model spread
- BAL -2
- Model total
- 40.5
- 80% range (GB margin)
- -16.0 to +18.0
League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.
Recorded leaders
- PassingMalik WillisGB288 pass yds
- RushingDerrick HenryBAL216 rush yds
- ReceivingChristian WatsonGB113 rec yds
Unit matchups
Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.
- GB passing attack#3/32BAL pass defense#22/32
- GB run game#19/32BAL run defense#2/32
- BAL passing attack#26/32GB pass defense#23/32
- BAL run game#3/32GB run defense#8/32
Players to watch
Per-game averages from 2025 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.
BALBaltimore Ravens
- Lamar JacksonQB · 12 games193pass yds/g
- Derrick HenryRB · 15 games83.5rush yds/g
- Zay FlowersWR · 15 games69.5rec yds/g
- Isaiah LikelyTE · 9 games27.6rec yds/g
GBGreen Bay Packers
- Jordan LoveQB · 15 games225pass yds/g
- Josh JacobsRB · 14 games66.1rush yds/g
- Tucker KraftTE · 8 games61.1rec yds/g
- Christian WatsonWR · 9 games55.3rec yds/g