AUGRISOpen research

2025 Week 17 · Final

Dallas Cowboys at Washington Commanders, final 30–23

DALDALDallas Cowboys30WASWASWashington Commanders23

Pregame first read

DAL passing attack has the stronger league profile.

DAL passing attack #9/32 · WAS pass defense #25/32 · 202 offense / 166 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
DAL -3.5
Model total
51
80% range (WAS margin)
-17.9 to +16.3

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • WAS passing attack#25/32DAL pass defense#32/32
  • WAS run game#13/32DAL run defense#27/32
  • DAL passing attack#9/32WAS pass defense#25/32
  • DAL run game#25/32WAS run defense#30/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2025 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

DALDallas Cowboys

WASWashington Commanders