2025 Week 17 · Final
Denver Broncos at Kansas City Chiefs, final 20–13
Pregame first read
DEN passing attack has the stronger league profile.
DEN passing attack #6/32 · KC pass defense #24/32 · 209 offense / 168 defense EPA plays.
Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.
- Model spread
- DEN -3
- Model total
- 43
- 80% range (KC margin)
- -17.4 to +16.9
League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.
Recorded leaders
- PassingBo NixDEN182 pass yds
- RushingRJ HarveyDEN43 rush yds
- ReceivingCourtland SuttonDEN40 rec yds
Unit matchups
Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.
- KC passing attack#24/32DEN pass defense#17/32
- KC run game#22/32DEN run defense#23/32
- DEN passing attack#6/32KC pass defense#24/32
- DEN run game#23/32KC run defense#6/32
Players to watch
Per-game averages from 2025 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.
DENDenver Broncos
- Bo NixQB · 15 games241pass yds/g
- J.K. DobbinsRB · 10 games77.2rush yds/g
- Courtland SuttonWR · 15 games64.8rec yds/g
- Troy FranklinWR · 15 games46.1rec yds/g
KCKansas City Chiefs
- Patrick MahomesQB · 14 games256pass yds/g
- Kareem HuntRB · 15 games37.3rush yds/g
- Rashee RiceWR · 8 games71.4rec yds/g
- Travis KelceTE · 15 games53.5rec yds/g