AUGRISOpen research

2025 Week 17 · Final

Detroit Lions at Minnesota Vikings, final 10–23

DETDETDetroit Lions10MINMINMinnesota Vikings23

Pregame first read

MIN run game has the stronger league profile.

MIN run game #7/32 · DET run defense #26/32 · 120 offense / 145 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
DET -1.5
Model total
48
80% range (MIN margin)
-15.6 to +18.6

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • MIN passing attack#30/32DET pass defense#28/32
  • MIN run game#7/32DET run defense#26/32
  • DET passing attack#7/32MIN pass defense#1/32
  • DET run game#6/32MIN run defense#12/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2025 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

DETDetroit Lions

MINMinnesota Vikings