AUGRISOpen research

2025 Week 17 · Final

Los Angeles Rams at Atlanta Falcons, final 24–27

LALALos Angeles Rams24ATLATLAtlanta Falcons27

Pregame first read

LA run game has the stronger league profile.

LA run game #2/32 · ATL run defense #13/32 · 140 offense / 126 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
LA -7.5
Model total
53.5
80% range (ATL margin)
-22.0 to +12.0

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • ATL passing attack#15/32LA pass defense#11/32
  • ATL run game#21/32LA run defense#21/32
  • LA passing attack#3/32ATL pass defense#14/32
  • LA run game#2/32ATL run defense#13/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2025 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

LALos Angeles Rams

ATLAtlanta Falcons