AUGRISOpen research

2025 Week 17 · Final

New Orleans Saints at Tennessee Titans, final 34–26

NONONew Orleans Saints34TENTENTennessee Titans26

Pregame first read

NO pass defense has the stronger league profile.

TEN passing attack #24/32 · NO pass defense #3/32 · 175 offense / 149 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
NO -2
Model total
40.5
80% range (TEN margin)
-16.5 to +17.6

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • TEN passing attack#24/32NO pass defense#3/32
  • TEN run game#8/32NO run defense#12/32
  • NO passing attack#22/32TEN pass defense#22/32
  • NO run game#27/32TEN run defense#11/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2025 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

NONew Orleans Saints

TENTennessee Titans