2025 Week 17 · Final
New York Giants at Las Vegas Raiders, final 34–10
Pregame first read
LV run defense has the stronger league profile.
NYG run game #18/32 · LV run defense #7/32 · 161 offense / 169 defense EPA plays.
Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.
- Model spread
- NYG -1
- Model total
- 44.5
- 80% range (LV margin)
- -15.4 to +18.7
League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.
Recorded leaders
- PassingJaxson DartNYG207 pass yds
- RushingTyrone Tracy Jr.NYG62 rush yds
- ReceivingWan'Dale RobinsonNYG113 rec yds
Unit matchups
Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.
- LV passing attack#29/32NYG pass defense#19/32
- LV run game#32/32NYG run defense#31/32
- NYG passing attack#20/32LV pass defense#28/32
- NYG run game#18/32LV run defense#7/32
Players to watch
Per-game averages from 2025 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.
NYGNew York Giants
- Jameis WinstonQB · 3 games189pass yds/g
- Cam SkatteboRB · 8 games51.3rush yds/g
- Malik NabersWR · 4 games67.8rec yds/g
- Wan'Dale RobinsonWR · 15 games60.1rec yds/g
LVLas Vegas Raiders
- Geno SmithQB · 14 games204pass yds/g
- Ashton JeantyRB · 15 games55.2rush yds/g
- Brock BowersTE · 12 games56.7rec yds/g
- Jakobi MeyersWR · 7 games50.3rec yds/g