AUGRISOpen research

2025 Week 17 · Final

Pittsburgh Steelers at Cleveland Browns, final 6–13

PITPITPittsburgh Steelers6CLECLECleveland Browns13

Pregame first read

PIT run game has the stronger league profile.

PIT run game #6/32 · CLE run defense #20/32 · 129 offense / 147 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
PIT -5.5
Model total
44
80% range (CLE margin)
-19.7 to +14.4

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • CLE passing attack#31/32PIT pass defense#21/32
  • CLE run game#25/32PIT run defense#17/32
  • PIT passing attack#13/32CLE pass defense#5/32
  • PIT run game#6/32CLE run defense#20/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2025 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

PITPittsburgh Steelers

CLECleveland Browns