2025 Week 17 · Final
Seattle Seahawks at Carolina Panthers, final 27–10
Pregame first read
SEA run defense has the stronger league profile.
CAR run game #19/32 · SEA run defense #3/32 · 124 offense / 137 defense EPA plays.
Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.
- Model spread
- SEA -9.5
- Model total
- 45
- 80% range (CAR margin)
- -23.7 to +10.3
League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.
Recorded leaders
- PassingSam DarnoldSEA147 pass yds
- RushingZach CharbonnetSEA110 rush yds
- ReceivingJaxon Smith-NjigbaSEA72 rec yds
Unit matchups
Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.
- CAR passing attack#9/32SEA pass defense#8/32
- CAR run game#19/32SEA run defense#3/32
- SEA passing attack#14/32CAR pass defense#20/32
- SEA run game#13/32CAR run defense#27/32
Players to watch
Per-game averages from 2025 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.
SEASeattle Seahawks
- Sam DarnoldQB · 15 games247pass yds/g
- Kenneth Walker IIIRB · 15 games58.6rush yds/g
- Jaxon Smith-NjigbaWR · 15 games109rec yds/g
- Cooper KuppWR · 14 games39.9rec yds/g
CARCarolina Panthers
- Bryce YoungQB · 14 games192pass yds/g
- Rico DowdleRB · 15 games67.1rush yds/g
- Tetairoa McMillanWR · 15 games61.6rec yds/g
- Jalen CokerWR · 9 games36.8rec yds/g