AUGRISOpen research

2025 Week 18 · Final

Arizona Cardinals at Los Angeles Rams, final 20–37

Pregame first read

LA run game has the stronger league profile.

LA run game #2/32 · ARI run defense #27/32 · 141 offense / 154 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
LA -12.5
Model total
56.5
80% range (LA margin)
-2.1 to +31.7

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • LA passing attack#5/32ARI pass defense#30/32
  • LA run game#2/32ARI run defense#27/32
  • ARI passing attack#22/32LA pass defense#21/32
  • ARI run game#23/32LA run defense#22/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2025 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

ARIArizona Cardinals

LALos Angeles Rams