AUGRISOpen research

2025 Week 18 · Final

Baltimore Ravens at Pittsburgh Steelers, final 24–26

BALBALBaltimore Ravens24PITPITPittsburgh Steelers26

Pregame first read

BAL run game has the stronger league profile.

BAL run game #1/32 · PIT run defense #11/32 · 166 offense / 142 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
BAL -2.5
Model total
43
80% range (PIT margin)
-17.1 to +16.8

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • PIT passing attack#20/32BAL pass defense#23/32
  • PIT run game#7/32BAL run defense#4/32
  • BAL passing attack#26/32PIT pass defense#17/32
  • BAL run game#1/32PIT run defense#11/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2025 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

BALBaltimore Ravens

PITPittsburgh Steelers