AUGRISOpen research

2025 Week 18 · Final

Cleveland Browns at Cincinnati Bengals, final 20–18

CLECLECleveland Browns20CINCINCincinnati Bengals18

Pregame first read

CIN pass defense has the stronger league profile.

CLE passing attack #31/32 · CIN pass defense #12/32 · 172 offense / 154 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
CIN -3
Model total
47
80% range (CIN margin)
-11.6 to +22.3

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • CIN passing attack#7/32CLE pass defense#8/32
  • CIN run game#24/32CLE run defense#26/32
  • CLE passing attack#31/32CIN pass defense#12/32
  • CLE run game#25/32CIN run defense#18/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2025 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

CLECleveland Browns

CINCincinnati Bengals