2025 Week 18 · Final
Dallas Cowboys at New York Giants, final 17–34
Pregame first read
NYG run game has the stronger league profile.
NYG run game #11/32 · DAL run defense #29/32 · 152 offense / 118 defense EPA plays.
Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.
- Model spread
- DAL -1
- Model total
- 51
- 80% range (NYG margin)
- -15.4 to +18.5
League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.
Recorded leaders
- PassingJaxson DartNYG230 pass yds
- RushingTyrone Tracy Jr.NYG103 rush yds
- ReceivingGunner OlszewskiNYG102 rec yds
Unit matchups
Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.
- NYG passing attack#23/32DAL pass defense#32/32
- NYG run game#11/32DAL run defense#29/32
- DAL passing attack#6/32NYG pass defense#11/32
- DAL run game#16/32NYG run defense#28/32
Players to watch
Per-game averages from 2025 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.
DALDallas Cowboys
- Dak PrescottQB · 16 games280pass yds/g
- Javonte WilliamsRB · 16 games75.1rush yds/g
- CeeDee LambWR · 12 games89.4rec yds/g
- George PickensWR · 16 games88.8rec yds/g
NYGNew York Giants
- Jameis WinstonQB · 3 games189pass yds/g
- Cam SkatteboRB · 8 games51.3rush yds/g
- Malik NabersWR · 4 games67.8rec yds/g
- Wan'Dale RobinsonWR · 16 games63.4rec yds/g