AUGRISOpen research

2025 Week 18 · Final

Green Bay Packers at Minnesota Vikings, final 3–16

GBGBGreen Bay Packers3MINMINMinnesota Vikings16

Pregame first read

MIN run game has the stronger league profile.

MIN run game #5/32 · GB run defense #25/32 · 128 offense / 171 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
PK
Model total
40.5
80% range (MIN margin)
-14.6 to +19.2

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • MIN passing attack#30/32GB pass defense#29/32
  • MIN run game#5/32GB run defense#25/32
  • GB passing attack#3/32MIN pass defense#2/32
  • GB run game#19/32MIN run defense#2/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2025 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

GBGreen Bay Packers

MINMinnesota Vikings