2025 Week 18 · Final
Seattle Seahawks at San Francisco 49ers, final 13–3
Pregame first read
SEA run game has the stronger league profile.
SEA run game #14/32 · SF run defense #22/32 · 140 offense / 107 defense EPA plays.
Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.
- Model spread
- SEA -1.5
- Model total
- 53
- 80% range (SF margin)
- -15.8 to +18.1
League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.
Recorded leaders
- PassingSam DarnoldSEA198 pass yds
- RushingKenneth Walker IIISEA97 rush yds
- ReceivingJaxon Smith-NjigbaSEA84 rec yds
Unit matchups
Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.
- SF passing attack#2/32SEA pass defense#3/32
- SF run game#7/32SEA run defense#3/32
- SEA passing attack#23/32SF pass defense#16/32
- SEA run game#14/32SF run defense#22/32
Players to watch
Per-game averages from 2025 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.
SEASeattle Seahawks
- Sam DarnoldQB · 16 games241pass yds/g
- Kenneth Walker IIIRB · 16 games58.1rush yds/g
- Jaxon Smith-NjigbaWR · 16 games107rec yds/g
- Cooper KuppWR · 15 games37.6rec yds/g
SFSan Francisco 49ers
- Brock PurdyQB · 8 games255pass yds/g
- Christian McCaffreyRB · 16 games73.7rush yds/g
- George KittleTE · 10 games59.9rec yds/g
- Ricky PearsallWR · 9 games58.7rec yds/g