AUGRISOpen research

2025 Week 18 · Final

Tennessee Titans at Jacksonville Jaguars, final 7–41

TENTENTennessee Titans7JAXJAXJacksonville Jaguars41

Pregame first read

JAX pass defense has the stronger league profile.

TEN passing attack #28/32 · JAX pass defense #3/32 · 173 offense / 196 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
JAX -9.5
Model total
48.5
80% range (JAX margin)
-5.0 to +28.9

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • JAX passing attack#2/32TEN pass defense#22/32
  • JAX run game#28/32TEN run defense#7/32
  • TEN passing attack#28/32JAX pass defense#3/32
  • TEN run game#10/32JAX run defense#6/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2025 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

TENTennessee Titans

JAXJacksonville Jaguars