AUGRISOpen research

2025 Week 18 · Final

Washington Commanders at Philadelphia Eagles, final 24–17

WASWASWashington Commanders24PHIPHIPhiladelphia Eagles17

Pregame first read

PHI pass defense has the stronger league profile.

WAS passing attack #25/32 · PHI pass defense #1/32 · 149 offense / 166 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
PHI -8
Model total
40.5
80% range (PHI margin)
-6.4 to +27.4

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • PHI passing attack#18/32WAS pass defense#26/32
  • PHI run game#13/32WAS run defense#32/32
  • WAS passing attack#25/32PHI pass defense#1/32
  • WAS run game#9/32PHI run defense#21/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2025 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

WASWashington Commanders

PHIPhiladelphia Eagles