AUGRISOpen research

2025 Postseason week 19 · Final

Green Bay Packers at Chicago Bears, final 27–31

GBGBGreen Bay Packers27CHICHIChicago Bears31

Pregame first read

CHI passing attack has the stronger league profile.

CHI passing attack #7/32 · GB pass defense #29/32 · 177 offense / 158 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
CHI -2.5
Model total
46
80% range (CHI margin)
-11.9 to +21.9

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • CHI passing attack#7/32GB pass defense#29/32
  • CHI run game#4/32GB run defense#25/32
  • GB passing attack#13/32CHI pass defense#21/32
  • GB run game#21/32CHI run defense#21/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2025 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

GBGreen Bay Packers

CHIChicago Bears