2025 Postseason week 19 · Final
Los Angeles Rams at Carolina Panthers, final 34–31
Pregame first read
LA run game has the stronger league profile.
LA run game #8/32 · CAR run defense #23/32 · 149 offense / 153 defense EPA plays.
Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.
- Model spread
- LA -7
- Model total
- 48.5
- 80% range (CAR margin)
- -21.1 to +12.7
League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.
Recorded leaders
- PassingMatthew StaffordLA304 pass yds
- RushingKyren WilliamsLA57 rush yds
- ReceivingJalen CokerCAR134 rec yds
Unit matchups
Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.
- CAR passing attack#15/32LA pass defense#17/32
- CAR run game#25/32LA run defense#24/32
- LA passing attack#3/32CAR pass defense#18/32
- LA run game#8/32CAR run defense#23/32
Players to watch
Per-game averages from 2025 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.
LALos Angeles Rams
- Matthew StaffordQB · 17 games277pass yds/g
- Kyren WilliamsRB · 17 games73.6rush yds/g
- Puka NacuaWR · 16 games107rec yds/g
- Davante AdamsWR · 14 games56.4rec yds/g
CARCarolina Panthers
- Bryce YoungQB · 16 games188pass yds/g
- Rico DowdleRB · 17 games63.3rush yds/g
- Tetairoa McMillanWR · 17 games59.6rec yds/g
- Jalen CokerWR · 11 games35.8rec yds/g