AUGRISOpen research

2025 Postseason week 19 · Final

San Francisco 49ers at Philadelphia Eagles, final 23–19

SFSFSan Francisco 49ers23PHIPHIPhiladelphia Eagles19

Pregame first read

PHI run game has the stronger league profile.

PHI run game #7/32 · SF run defense #24/32 · 148 offense / 130 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
SF -2
Model total
45
80% range (PHI margin)
-16.4 to +17.4

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • PHI passing attack#20/32SF pass defense#22/32
  • PHI run game#7/32SF run defense#24/32
  • SF passing attack#3/32PHI pass defense#2/32
  • SF run game#8/32PHI run defense#11/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2025 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

SFSan Francisco 49ers

PHIPhiladelphia Eagles