2025 Week 2 · Final
Atlanta Falcons at Minnesota Vikings, final 22–6
Pregame first read
ATL pass defense has the stronger league profile.
MIN passing attack #31/32 · ATL pass defense #13/32 · 200 offense / 193 defense EPA plays.
Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.
- Model spread
- MIN -3
- Model total
- 47.5
- 80% range (MIN margin)
- -10.2 to +22.1
League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.
Recorded leaders
- PassingJ.J. McCarthyMIN158 pass yds
- RushingBijan RobinsonATL143 rush yds
- ReceivingJustin JeffersonMIN81 rec yds
Unit matchups
Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.
- MIN passing attack#31/32ATL pass defense#13/32
- MIN run game#21/32ATL run defense#21/32
- ATL passing attack#13/32MIN pass defense#12/32
- ATL run game#9/32MIN run defense#15/32
Players to watch
Per-game averages from 2025 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.
ATLAtlanta Falcons
Not enough recorded games yet.
MINMinnesota Vikings
Not enough recorded games yet.