2025 Week 2 · Final

Buffalo Bills at New York Jets, final 30–10

BUFBUFBuffalo Bills30NYJNYJNew York Jets10

Pregame first read

BUF passing attack has the stronger league profile.

BUF passing attack #4/32 · NYJ pass defense #24/32 · 170 offense / 175 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread: BUF -5
Model total: 55
80% range (NYJ margin): -18.4 to +14.0

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

PassingJosh AllenBUF148 pass yds
RushingJames CookBUF132 rush yds
ReceivingGarrett WilsonNYJ50 rec yds

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

NYJ passing attack#11/32BUF pass defense#27/32
NYJ run game#8/32BUF run defense#23/32
BUF passing attack#4/32NYJ pass defense#24/32
BUF run game#3/32NYJ run defense#17/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2025 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

BUFBuffalo Bills

Not enough recorded games yet.

NYJNew York Jets

Not enough recorded games yet.