2025 Week 2 · Final
Chicago Bears at Detroit Lions, final 21–52
Pregame first read
DET run game has the stronger league profile.
DET run game #5/32 · CHI run defense #20/32 · 136 offense / 143 defense EPA plays.
Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.
- Model spread
- DET -5.5
- Model total
- 52
- 80% range (DET margin)
- -7.7 to +24.6
League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.
Recorded leaders
- PassingJared GoffDET334 pass yds
- RushingJahmyr GibbsDET94 rush yds
- ReceivingRome OdunzeCHI128 rec yds
Unit matchups
Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.
- DET passing attack#7/32CHI pass defense#9/32
- DET run game#5/32CHI run defense#20/32
- CHI passing attack#25/32DET pass defense#26/32
- CHI run game#29/32DET run defense#16/32
Players to watch
Per-game averages from 2025 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.
CHIChicago Bears
Not enough recorded games yet.
DETDetroit Lions
Not enough recorded games yet.