2025 Week 2 · Final

Denver Broncos at Indianapolis Colts, final 28–29

DENDENDenver Broncos28INDINDIndianapolis Colts29

Pregame first read

DEN passing attack has the stronger league profile.

DEN passing attack #6/32 · IND pass defense #14/32 · 170 offense / 162 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread: DEN -3.5
Model total: 50
80% range (IND margin): -16.7 to +15.7

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

PassingDaniel JonesIND316 pass yds
RushingJonathan TaylorIND165 rush yds
ReceivingTroy FranklinDEN89 rec yds

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

IND passing attack#20/32DEN pass defense#19/32
IND run game#17/32DEN run defense#10/32
DEN passing attack#6/32IND pass defense#14/32
DEN run game#13/32IND run defense#8/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2025 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

DENDenver Broncos

Not enough recorded games yet.

INDIndianapolis Colts

Not enough recorded games yet.