2025 Week 2 · Final

Jacksonville Jaguars at Cincinnati Bengals, final 27–31

JAXJAXJacksonville Jaguars27CINCINCincinnati Bengals31

Pregame first read

CIN pass defense has the stronger league profile.

JAX passing attack #16/32 · CIN pass defense #3/32 · 177 offense / 192 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread: CIN -4.5
Model total: 46
80% range (CIN margin): -8.9 to +23.4

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

PassingTrevor LawrenceJAX271 pass yds
RushingTravis EtienneJAX71 rush yds
ReceivingJa'Marr ChaseCIN165 rec yds

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

CIN passing attack#10/32JAX pass defense#10/32
CIN run game#19/32JAX run defense#22/32
JAX passing attack#16/32CIN pass defense#3/32
JAX run game#11/32CIN run defense#7/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2025 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

JAXJacksonville Jaguars

Not enough recorded games yet.

CINCincinnati Bengals

Not enough recorded games yet.