2025 Week 2 · Final
New York Giants at Dallas Cowboys, final 37–40
Pregame first read
DAL passing attack has the stronger league profile.
DAL passing attack #18/32 · NYG pass defense #30/32 · 164 offense / 172 defense EPA plays.
Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.
- Model spread
- DAL -4.5
- Model total
- 45
- 80% range (DAL margin)
- -8.5 to +23.9
League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.
Recorded leaders
- PassingRussell WilsonNYG450 pass yds
- RushingJavonte WilliamsDAL97 rush yds
- ReceivingMalik NabersNYG167 rec yds
Unit matchups
Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.
- DAL passing attack#18/32NYG pass defense#30/32
- DAL run game#24/32NYG run defense#13/32
- NYG passing attack#26/32DAL pass defense#15/32
- NYG run game#27/32DAL run defense#30/32
Players to watch
Per-game averages from 2025 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.
NYGNew York Giants
Not enough recorded games yet.
DALDallas Cowboys
Not enough recorded games yet.