2025 Week 2 · Final

Philadelphia Eagles at Kansas City Chiefs, final 20–17

PHIPHIPhiladelphia Eagles20KCKCKansas City Chiefs17

Pregame first read

PHI passing attack has the stronger league profile.

PHI passing attack #5/32 · KC pass defense #32/32 · 129 offense / 164 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread: PHI -7.5
Model total: 48.5
80% range (KC margin): -20.6 to +11.7

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

PassingPatrick MahomesKC187 pass yds
RushingSaquon BarkleyPHI88 rush yds
ReceivingTravis KelceKC61 rec yds

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

KC passing attack#21/32PHI pass defense#2/32
KC run game#12/32PHI run defense#5/32
PHI passing attack#5/32KC pass defense#32/32
PHI run game#4/32KC run defense#19/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2025 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

PHIPhiladelphia Eagles

Not enough recorded games yet.

KCKansas City Chiefs

Not enough recorded games yet.