2025 Week 2 · Final
San Francisco 49ers at New Orleans Saints, final 26–21
Pregame first read
SF passing attack has the stronger league profile.
SF passing attack #8/32 · NO pass defense #25/32 · 196 offense / 172 defense EPA plays.
Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.
- Model spread
- NO -1.5
- Model total
- 42.5
- 80% range (NO margin)
- -11.7 to +20.6
League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.
Recorded leaders
- PassingMac JonesSF279 pass yds
- RushingAlvin KamaraNO99 rush yds
- ReceivingJauan JenningsSF89 rec yds
Unit matchups
Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.
- NO passing attack#29/32SF pass defense#21/32
- NO run game#20/32SF run defense#25/32
- SF passing attack#8/32NO pass defense#25/32
- SF run game#25/32NO run defense#29/32
Players to watch
Per-game averages from 2025 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.
SFSan Francisco 49ers
Not enough recorded games yet.
NONew Orleans Saints
Not enough recorded games yet.