2025 Week 2 · Final
Washington Commanders at Green Bay Packers, final 18–27
Pregame first read
GB run game has the stronger league profile.
GB run game #11/32 · WAS run defense #21/32 · 142 offense / 145 defense EPA plays.
Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.
- Model spread
- GB -3
- Model total
- 49
- 80% range (GB margin)
- -10.4 to +22.0
League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.
Recorded leaders
- PassingJordan LoveGB292 pass yds
- RushingJosh JacobsGB84 rush yds
- ReceivingTucker KraftGB124 rec yds
Unit matchups
Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.
- GB passing attack#17/32WAS pass defense#18/32
- GB run game#11/32WAS run defense#21/32
- WAS passing attack#9/32GB pass defense#9/32
- WAS run game#7/32GB run defense#3/32
Players to watch
Per-game averages from 2025 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.
WASWashington Commanders
Not enough recorded games yet.
GBGreen Bay Packers
Not enough recorded games yet.