2025 Postseason week 20 · Final
Los Angeles Rams at Chicago Bears, final 20–17
Pregame first read
LA passing attack has the stronger league profile.
LA passing attack #3/32 · CHI pass defense #23/32 · 213 offense / 192 defense EPA plays.
Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.
- Model spread
- LA -2.5
- Model total
- 55
- 80% range (CHI margin)
- -16.9 to +17.0
League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.
Recorded leaders
- PassingMatthew StaffordLA258 pass yds
- RushingKyren WilliamsLA87 rush yds
- ReceivingColston LovelandCHI56 rec yds
Unit matchups
Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.
- CHI passing attack#4/32LA pass defense#16/32
- CHI run game#12/32LA run defense#27/32
- LA passing attack#3/32CHI pass defense#23/32
- LA run game#14/32CHI run defense#16/32
Players to watch
Per-game averages from 2025 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.
LALos Angeles Rams
- Matthew StaffordQB · 17 games277pass yds/g
- Kyren WilliamsRB · 17 games73.6rush yds/g
- Puka NacuaWR · 16 games107rec yds/g
- Davante AdamsWR · 14 games56.4rec yds/g
CHIChicago Bears
- Caleb WilliamsQB · 17 games232pass yds/g
- D'Andre SwiftRB · 16 games67.9rush yds/g
- Rome OdunzeWR · 12 games55.1rec yds/g
- Colston LovelandTE · 16 games44.6rec yds/g