2025 Postseason week 22 · Final
Seattle Seahawks at New England Patriots, final 29–13
Pregame first read
NE pass defense has the stronger league profile.
SEA passing attack #12/32 · NE pass defense #2/32 · 155 offense / 185 defense EPA plays.
Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.
- Model spread
- SEA -1
- Model total
- 43
- 80% range (NE margin)
- -15.4 to +18.3
League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.
Recorded leaders
- PassingDrake MayeNE295 pass yds
- RushingKenneth Walker IIISEA135 rush yds
- ReceivingMack HollinsNE78 rec yds
Unit matchups
Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.
- NE passing attack#8/32SEA pass defense#10/32
- NE run game#8/32SEA run defense#7/32
- SEA passing attack#12/32NE pass defense#2/32
- SEA run game#3/32NE run defense#4/32
Players to watch
Per-game averages from 2025 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.
SEASeattle Seahawks
- Sam DarnoldQB · 17 games238pass yds/g
- Kenneth Walker IIIRB · 17 games60.4rush yds/g
- Jaxon Smith-NjigbaWR · 17 games105rec yds/g
- Cooper KuppWR · 16 games37.1rec yds/g
NENew England Patriots
- Drake MayeQB · 17 games258pass yds/g
- TreVeyon HendersonRB · 17 games53.6rush yds/g
- Stefon DiggsWR · 17 games59.6rec yds/g
- Hunter HenryTE · 17 games45.2rec yds/g