AUGRISOpen research

2025 Week 3 · Final

Atlanta Falcons at Carolina Panthers, final 0–30

ATLATLAtlanta Falcons0CARCARCarolina Panthers30

Pregame first read

ATL run game has the stronger league profile.

ATL run game #3/32 · CAR run defense #32/32 · 162 offense / 155 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
ATL -5
Model total
49.5
80% range (CAR margin)
-18.2 to +14.3

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • CAR passing attack#18/32ATL pass defense#9/32
  • CAR run game#6/32ATL run defense#27/32
  • ATL passing attack#13/32CAR pass defense#32/32
  • ATL run game#3/32CAR run defense#32/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2025 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

ATLAtlanta Falcons

CARCarolina Panthers