AUGRISOpen research

2025 Week 3 · Final

Cincinnati Bengals at Minnesota Vikings, final 10–48

CINCINCincinnati Bengals10MINMINMinnesota Vikings48

Pregame first read

CIN pass defense has the stronger league profile.

MIN passing attack #31/32 · CIN pass defense #8/32 · 189 offense / 197 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
CIN -3
Model total
48
80% range (MIN margin)
-16.6 to +15.9

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • MIN passing attack#31/32CIN pass defense#8/32
  • MIN run game#18/32CIN run defense#11/32
  • CIN passing attack#14/32MIN pass defense#7/32
  • CIN run game#21/32MIN run defense#15/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2025 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

CINCincinnati Bengals

MINMinnesota Vikings