AUGRISOpen research

2025 Week 3 · Final

Dallas Cowboys at Chicago Bears, final 14–31

DALDALDallas Cowboys14CHICHIChicago Bears31

Pregame first read

CHI run defense has the stronger league profile.

DAL run game #27/32 · CHI run defense #17/32 · 136 offense / 144 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
DAL -5
Model total
48
80% range (CHI margin)
-18.2 to +14.3

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • CHI passing attack#25/32DAL pass defense#28/32
  • CHI run game#32/32DAL run defense#30/32
  • DAL passing attack#19/32CHI pass defense#20/32
  • DAL run game#27/32CHI run defense#17/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2025 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

DALDallas Cowboys

CHIChicago Bears