AUGRISOpen research

2025 Week 3 · Final

Detroit Lions at Baltimore Ravens, final 38–30

DETDETDetroit Lions38BALBALBaltimore Ravens30

Pregame first read

BAL passing attack has the stronger league profile.

BAL passing attack #1/32 · DET pass defense #23/32 · 134 offense / 174 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
BAL -5
Model total
57.5
80% range (BAL margin)
-8.1 to +24.5

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • BAL passing attack#1/32DET pass defense#23/32
  • BAL run game#1/32DET run defense#14/32
  • DET passing attack#3/32BAL pass defense#8/32
  • DET run game#7/32BAL run defense#23/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2025 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

DETDetroit Lions

BALBaltimore Ravens