AUGRISOpen research

2025 Week 3 · Final

Green Bay Packers at Cleveland Browns, final 10–13

GBGBGreen Bay Packers10CLECLECleveland Browns13

Pregame first read

GB pass defense has the stronger league profile.

CLE passing attack #32/32 · GB pass defense #10/32 · 220 offense / 186 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
GB -11
Model total
43
80% range (CLE margin)
-24.4 to +8.1

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • CLE passing attack#32/32GB pass defense#10/32
  • CLE run game#23/32GB run defense#2/32
  • GB passing attack#17/32CLE pass defense#23/32
  • GB run game#17/32CLE run defense#7/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2025 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

GBGreen Bay Packers

CLECleveland Browns