AUGRISOpen research

2025 Week 3 · Final

Indianapolis Colts at Tennessee Titans, final 41–20

INDINDIndianapolis Colts41TENTENTennessee Titans20

Pregame first read

IND run game has the stronger league profile.

IND run game #9/32 · TEN run defense #31/32 · 189 offense / 161 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
IND -4.5
Model total
48.5
80% range (TEN margin)
-18.0 to +14.6

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • TEN passing attack#26/32IND pass defense#26/32
  • TEN run game#30/32IND run defense#13/32
  • IND passing attack#7/32TEN pass defense#14/32
  • IND run game#9/32TEN run defense#31/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2025 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

INDIndianapolis Colts

TENTennessee Titans