AUGRISOpen research

2025 Week 3 · Final

Las Vegas Raiders at Washington Commanders, final 24–41

LVLVLas Vegas Raiders24WASWASWashington Commanders41

Pregame first read

LV run defense has the stronger league profile.

WAS run game #14/32 · LV run defense #1/32 · 144 offense / 110 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
WAS -1.5
Model total
45
80% range (WAS margin)
-11.9 to +20.7

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • WAS passing attack#12/32LV pass defense#12/32
  • WAS run game#14/32LV run defense#1/32
  • LV passing attack#23/32WAS pass defense#19/32
  • LV run game#29/32WAS run defense#23/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2025 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

LVLas Vegas Raiders

WASWashington Commanders