AUGRISOpen research

2025 Week 3 · Final

New Orleans Saints at Seattle Seahawks, final 13–44

NONONew Orleans Saints13SEASEASeattle Seahawks44

Pregame first read

SEA pass defense has the stronger league profile.

NO passing attack #30/32 · SEA pass defense #13/32 · 199 offense / 192 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
SEA -5.5
Model total
39
80% range (SEA margin)
-7.9 to +24.7

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • SEA passing attack#24/32NO pass defense#27/32
  • SEA run game#13/32NO run defense#26/32
  • NO passing attack#30/32SEA pass defense#13/32
  • NO run game#12/32SEA run defense#3/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2025 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

NONew Orleans Saints

SEASeattle Seahawks