2025 Week 4 · Final
Carolina Panthers at New England Patriots, final 13–42
Pregame first read
CAR passing attack has the stronger league profile.
CAR passing attack #21/32 · NE pass defense #30/32 · 187 offense / 169 defense EPA plays.
Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.
- Model spread
- CAR -1
- Model total
- 47.5
- 80% range (NE margin)
- -14.2 to +18.4
League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.
Recorded leaders
- PassingDrake MayeNE203 pass yds
- RushingChuba HubbardCAR49 rush yds
- ReceivingStefon DiggsNE101 rec yds
Unit matchups
Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.
- NE passing attack#16/32CAR pass defense#21/32
- NE run game#32/32CAR run defense#32/32
- CAR passing attack#21/32NE pass defense#30/32
- CAR run game#14/32NE run defense#9/32
Players to watch
Per-game averages from 2025 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.
CARCarolina Panthers
- Bryce YoungQB · 3 games201pass yds/g
- Chuba HubbardRB · 3 games56rush yds/g
- Tetairoa McMillanWR · 3 games72rec yds/g
- Brycen TremayneWR · 2 games31.5rec yds/g
NENew England Patriots
- Drake MayeQB · 3 games262pass yds/g
- Rhamondre StevensonRB · 3 games29rush yds/g
- Hunter HenryTE · 3 games55rec yds/g
- Kayshon BoutteWR · 3 games49rec yds/g