AUGRISOpen research

2025 Week 4 · Final

Cleveland Browns at Detroit Lions, final 10–34

CLECLECleveland Browns10DETDETDetroit Lions34

Pregame first read

DET passing attack has the stronger league profile.

DET passing attack #5/32 · CLE pass defense #24/32 · 176 offense / 148 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
DET -10
Model total
49.5
80% range (DET margin)
-3.2 to +29.3

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • DET passing attack#5/32CLE pass defense#24/32
  • DET run game#4/32CLE run defense#3/32
  • CLE passing attack#31/32DET pass defense#19/32
  • CLE run game#21/32DET run defense#4/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2025 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

CLECleveland Browns

DETDetroit Lions