AUGRISOpen research

2025 Week 4 · Final

Green Bay Packers at Dallas Cowboys, final 40–40

GBGBGreen Bay Packers40DALDALDallas Cowboys40

Pregame first read

GB pass defense has the stronger league profile.

DAL passing attack #23/32 · GB pass defense #7/32 · 202 offense / 179 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
GB -6.5
Model total
44.5
80% range (DAL margin)
-19.4 to +13.1

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • DAL passing attack#23/32GB pass defense#7/32
  • DAL run game#19/32GB run defense#6/32
  • GB passing attack#20/32DAL pass defense#32/32
  • GB run game#16/32DAL run defense#24/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2025 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

GBGreen Bay Packers

DALDallas Cowboys