AUGRISOpen research

2025 Week 4 · Final

Los Angeles Chargers at New York Giants, final 18–21

LACLACLos Angeles Chargers18NYGNYGNew York Giants21

Pregame first read

LAC passing attack has the stronger league profile.

LAC passing attack #10/32 · NYG pass defense #29/32 · 191 offense / 211 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
LAC -7
Model total
46.5
80% range (NYG margin)
-19.9 to +12.6

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • NYG passing attack#14/32LAC pass defense#4/32
  • NYG run game#26/32LAC run defense#20/32
  • LAC passing attack#10/32NYG pass defense#29/32
  • LAC run game#25/32NYG run defense#14/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2025 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

LACLos Angeles Chargers

NYGNew York Giants