AUGRISOpen research

2025 Week 4 · Final

New Orleans Saints at Buffalo Bills, final 19–31

NONONew Orleans Saints19BUFBUFBuffalo Bills31

Pregame first read

BUF passing attack has the stronger league profile.

BUF passing attack #6/32 · NO pass defense #31/32 · 167 offense / 165 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
BUF -10.5
Model total
46
80% range (BUF margin)
-2.5 to +30.0

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • BUF passing attack#6/32NO pass defense#31/32
  • BUF run game#1/32NO run defense#10/32
  • NO passing attack#28/32BUF pass defense#28/32
  • NO run game#17/32BUF run defense#26/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2025 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

NONew Orleans Saints

BUFBuffalo Bills