AUGRISOpen research

2025 Week 4 · Final

Seattle Seahawks at Arizona Cardinals, final 23–20

SEASEASeattle Seahawks23ARIARIArizona Cardinals20

Pregame first read

ARI run defense has the stronger league profile.

SEA run game #21/32 · ARI run defense #3/32 · 134 offense / 109 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
SEA -1
Model total
44.5
80% range (ARI margin)
-14.2 to +18.4

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • ARI passing attack#12/32SEA pass defense#9/32
  • ARI run game#11/32SEA run defense#1/32
  • SEA passing attack#13/32ARI pass defense#11/32
  • SEA run game#21/32ARI run defense#3/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2025 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

SEASeattle Seahawks

ARIArizona Cardinals