AUGRISOpen research

2025 Week 4 · Final

Tennessee Titans at Houston Texans, final 0–26

TENTENTennessee Titans0HOUHOUHouston Texans26

Pregame first read

HOU pass defense has the stronger league profile.

TEN passing attack #30/32 · HOU pass defense #3/32 · 177 offense / 181 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
HOU -3
Model total
40.5
80% range (HOU margin)
-10.0 to +22.5

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • HOU passing attack#29/32TEN pass defense#23/32
  • HOU run game#12/32TEN run defense#31/32
  • TEN passing attack#30/32HOU pass defense#3/32
  • TEN run game#30/32HOU run defense#21/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2025 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

TENTennessee Titans

HOUHouston Texans