2025 Week 5 · Final
Dallas Cowboys at New York Jets, final 37–22
Pregame first read
DAL passing attack has the stronger league profile.
DAL passing attack #9/32 · NYJ pass defense #25/32 · 213 offense / 162 defense EPA plays.
Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.
- Model spread
- DAL -0.5
- Model total
- 52
- 80% range (NYJ margin)
- -13.5 to +20.5
League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.
Recorded leaders
- PassingJustin FieldsNYJ283 pass yds
- RushingJavonte WilliamsDAL135 rush yds
- ReceivingRyan FlournoyDAL114 rec yds
Unit matchups
Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.
- NYJ passing attack#18/32DAL pass defense#32/32
- NYJ run game#19/32DAL run defense#27/32
- DAL passing attack#9/32NYJ pass defense#25/32
- DAL run game#13/32NYJ run defense#22/32
Players to watch
Per-game averages from 2025 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.
DALDallas Cowboys
- Dak PrescottQB · 4 games280pass yds/g
- Javonte WilliamsRB · 4 games78rush yds/g
- CeeDee LambWR · 2 games111rec yds/g
- George PickensWR · 4 games75rec yds/g
NYJNew York Jets
- Justin FieldsQB · 3 games157pass yds/g
- Breece HallRB · 4 games59.5rush yds/g
- Garrett WilsonWR · 4 games77.8rec yds/g
- Mason TaylorTE · 4 games27rec yds/g